| Symbol | Name | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Volume | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZCZ26 | Corn | 468.50 | 474.25 | 463.00 | 464.00 | ▼ -4.50 | 208,712 | 2026-07-16 |
| ZSX26 | Soybean | 1,200.50 | 1,206.75 | 1,193.75 | 1,195.00 | ▼ -5.50 | 114,870 | 2026-07-16 |
| ZWU26 | Wheat | 677.00 | 698.25 | 669.50 | 674.75 | ▼ -2.25 | 122,342 | 2026-07-16 |
U.S. soybean export sales for 2026/27 stood at 4.6 million metric tons (169 million bushels) as of July 9, the highest for the date in four years. China added more than 1 mmt in the latest week, a stark contrast to its complete avoidance of U.S. beans last summer. Sales already cover 10% of USDA's export outlook, also the highest share in four years. Will USDA have to raise its export target yet again?
Karen Braun
West Central Indiana: much of Illinois and Indiana need rain, as pollination continues to increase across my area. I've heard of some poor pollination occurring in both states, possibly caused by heat and poor root system from the earlier heavy rains.
Corn planted later in the season and replanted corn are several weeks away from fungicide application, but about a third of our acres are ready for it. Soybeans, however, have responded well to the heat and are looking good. Come August, beans will need more rain to fill the pods that are forming now.
Farmers were able to bale hay this week, and production has been good. Corn and soybeans are moving from grain bins to processors. Hopefully, cooler temperatures next week will allow farmers to finish cleaning the remaining bushels from their bins.
Chuck Shelby
December corn reverses off monthly high as demand cools
December corn spiked to a fresh July high early Thursday, riding wheat's Black Sea-driven surge and lingering hot and dry Midwest forecasts. Futures reversed lower into the close, and USDA's weekly export sales added pressure. Old-crop net sales of 315,000 metric tons were a season low, down 44 percent from the prior week. New-crop sales near 311,000 tons were at the low end of expectations. Firming crop ratings and less threatening pollination forecasts handed bears the upper hand, even as strong weekly shipments and a shrinking French crop underpin the bull case.
December corn settled at 464.00 per bushel, down 5.50 cents after an outside day that tagged 474.25 before fading to a 463.00 low. Price held above the 18-day simple moving average near 449.68, yet it stayed capped by the 55-, 100- and 200-day averages clustered between 467 and 473. Daily RSI near 55.7 sits mid-range, reflecting the standoff. The nearby September contract settled at 441.50, down 6.00.
Dan Hussey
Benign forecast, technical fatigue outweigh talk of 6-8 Chinese cargoes.
Thursday November beans traded as high as 1206 3/4 but closed at 1195'0, down 6 3/4. Export sales came in at 188,274 metric tons for old crop and 1,769,617 metric tons for new crop. Wire services say China bought 6-8 cargoes of beans on Wednesday, though no flash sales reported for third straight day. Forecasts call for the high pressure ridge to move to the west, allowing for below average temps and precipitation chances in the east and central corn belt.
Soybeans are bumping into resistance, with no new high again today. Some traders looking at the short side see a double top on the charts. It could take a close above 1214'0 to change their minds and stop these new shorts out. Until then, the 18-day moving average (1171'0) appears to be a target. RSI comes in at 57.46. Funds estimated long 76k contracts coming into Thursday's trade.
Joe Nikruto
September wheat hits two-month high before reversing lower
September wheat futures surged near two-month highs on Thursday as Russia-Ukraine attacks on Black Sea ports continued stoking supply fears. Russian July shipments are already reported to be sharply slowing. But the market couldn't hang onto its strength, ultimately reversing on profit taking. USDA's weekly export sales missed expectations at 235,100 metric tons, down 25 percent from the prior week and 38 percent below the four-week average. A rapid U.S. winter wheat harvest added to the bearish counterweight pressing against the war premium.
September wheat settled at 674.75, down 2.75, carving a bearish outside day after spiking to 698.25 and reversing to a 669.50 low. Price still towers above the 18-day simple moving average near 616.29 and every major average beneath it, underscoring the rally's momentum. Daily RSI near 69.7 encroaches on overbought territory, a sign the surge had stretched. The trade now eyes Black Sea headlines and harvest pressure into next week.
Dan Hussey
Cattle futures hit four-month low, setting grim record
Thursday marked an impressive milestone, albeit unfortunate: live cattle closed lower for a 15th consecutive session, a record-setting losing streak. The good news is that every day brings us closer to major support levels. August live cattle finished $3.05 lower on Thursday to $227.07 per cwt, and August feeders fell $3.35 to $346.60.
I’ve been speaking with other cattle farmers, and those sending fat cattle to slaughter report they are weighing 25 to 50 pounds lighter than anticipated. It seems the summer heat is affecting not only demand but also supply. This morning, packers lowered their bids to $237 and then to $235 FOB by noon. As of the latest report, Choice boxed beef is at $373.46 (down $0.49) and Select is at $362.08 (down $2.33).
Charlie White
Early morning action, we saw crude pushing back above $80, up $1.84. Crude traded in a ~$2 range on Thursday, setting $0.65 lower. New U.S. air strikes on Iran sparked a mild rally early, but traders seemingly took profits later in the session, especially as the dollar strengthened. President Trump appears willing to escalate Iran attacks until they stop targeting ships, and Iran seems in no hurry to oblige. It's unclear how long the renewed tensions will last, so producers who are heavy users of fuel may want to think about their need to increase upside price protection.
Stocks are heading lower again this morning, Dow and Nasdaq both off at least 300-400 points. Equities were lower all day on Thursday. One day, the market's up on tech and chip makers, the next day it's down for the same reason. Recent economic reports have been generally positive, but the Fed is still projecting hawkish views and may want to raise rates, sending bonds lower. Until the trade is reassured that the Iran conflict can reach a conclusion and energy prices will stabilize, back and forth action in the equities may continue.
Sherman Newlin
Although there were minor changes this week on the U.S. Drought Monitor, next week could feature some drought expansion in the Plains, where temperatures have been soaring. Those areas are also expected to stay dry over the next seven days. Expected rainfall amounts have been increasing in parts of the Eastern Belt as moisture starts to work its way over the high pressure dome. Temperatures will also start to come down starting Friday in eastern areas, providing relief from this week's heat.
Jason Clapp
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