| Symbol | Name | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Volume | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZCN26 | Corn | 419.75 | 420.00 | 410.50 | 411.75 | ▼ -8.00 | 315,342 | 2026-06-11 |
| ZSX26 | Soybean | 1,139.00 | 1,142.50 | 1,126.50 | 1,134.00 | ▼ -5.00 | 118,084 | 2026-06-11 |
| ZWN26 | Wheat | 588.50 | 593.75 | 582.25 | 586.75 | ▼ -1.75 | 97,755 | 2026-06-11 |
In the week ended May 26, speculators staged their largest round of net selling in CBOT corn futures and options since the trade war-fueled selloff of early March 2025. Corn bulls continue to juggle stable U.S. crop conditions, war headlines, and prospects for Chinese purchases.
Karen Braun
Parke County, West Central Indiana
The weather at the farm has been almost perfect for our crops after 2.5 inches of rain this week. Our main concern is the fact that counties to the North have received anywhere from 4 - 10 inches of rain. That's pushing the Wabash River level close to flood stage. If my grandpa were still around he'd remind me that we have a new farmer in the river bottoms with us this year, and anytime a new farmer comes in the river doesn't flood down there. Grandpa's are usually right about that stuff aren't they. Next week I will finish up spraying a couple soybean fields, and put the Y-Drop system on to sidedress corn.
Jason Clapp
July corn slides to three-month low as funds slash long positions
July corn settled down 9¢ on the Friday and 16.5 cents on the week: a fresh three-month low. Crude oil's $1.54 retreat on U.S.-Iran ceasefire hopes pressured the grains complex into month-end. Planting is nearly completed. Friday's COT report showed managed money slashed its corn net long by roughly 87,850 contracts during the week ending May 26, the clearest sign yet of technically-driven fund liquidation. Underlying export demand remains supportive, with old-crop weekly sales topping 1.0 MMT.
July corn closed Friday at 446.75, well below the 18-day SMA near 467.00, creating bearish bias until its retaken. The 14-day RSI sits near 37, approaching oversold territory and aligning with fund selling pressure. The three-week slide has carved 30+ cents off the May high of 487.50. Support: 450.00 and April's 448.50 low; a break opens to 440.00.
Dan Hussey
July beans test the 200 day SMA after a neutral WASDE
Thursday's June WASDE gave the trade little to chew on, leaving 2025/2026 soybean ending stocks unchanged at 340 million bushels and the new crop 2026/2027 carryout steady at 310 million bushels, the latter toward the low end of pre-report estimates. The one constructive tweak was a 30 million bushel increase in crush to 2.65 billion bushels. With the balance sheet largely static, favorable U.S. growing weather and fund/technical selling drove price action, outweighing the supportive crush revision. The trade now turns to weekend forecasts and weekly export demand for direction.
July Soybean futures settled Thursday at 1115.00, down 8.00 on the day, after Wednesday's 9.25 gain, with a session range of 1125.00 to 1108.25. At the time of writing this, price is trading 1114.75 overnight. Beans remain trapped below the 18 day SMA at 1165.78 and are now testing the 200-day at 1112.82. Daily RSI sits at 30.87, nearing oversold territory.
Dan Hussey
News flow turns bullish to start the week, but chart still bearish
Chicago wheat closed down 13 1/2 on Friday to 610 1/2. Early trade Sunday evening shows an open of 613'0, up 2'0. Wire services open the week with discussion of the upcoming El Niño event forecast to impact commodities world wide, and the smallest HRW wheat crop since 1965 here in the United States. Export sales on Friday showed old crop cancellations of 807,000 metric tons balanced against new crop sales of 1.058 million metric tons. COT data had funds adding to their short position in Chicago wheat by 13k contracts to a net 16k short. In KCBT wheat, the funds were long 28k after cutting almost 3k contracts. Long KCBT/short CBOT Wheat back on for the funds.
Swing low of 605 1/4 rests just below the market, as does the 100-day moving average at 595 1/2. Wheat has upside ground to cover to escape the influence of the bearish head and shoulders chart pattern. 50-, 10-, and 18-day moving averages are now resistance.
Joe Nikruto
USDA trims 2026 U.S. beef production
August live cattle futures rose $1.17 to $242.67 per hundredweight, while August feeders increased $5.27 to $359.65. Negotiated sales were light today, with bids around $253 South and $260 North and limited trading volume so far this week. Last week’s levels were in the $256–$258 live range. Feeder markets showed strength in auctions and were steady to higher. The feeder index decreased $0.16 to $386.06. CME raised live cattle margins by $200 per contract to $3,200 and feeder margins by $400 per contract to $5,700.
USDA raised cattle prices for Q2 2026 in its WASDE report on Thursday based on strong May numbers but left forecasts unchanged for the rest of the year and 2027. Beef production was lowered due to slower steer/heifer slaughter and reduced cow slaughter, partially offset by heavier weights. Choice box beef increased $0.39 to $393.29, while Select decreased $1.22 to $375.71 on moderate movement.
Charlie White
Energy and equities traded off the same Thursday headline as President Trump suspended planned strikes on Iran and signaled a nuclear deal that could reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The geopolitical risk premium bled out of crude. July WTI Crude futures settled at 87.71, down 2.32, after a wild 93.64 to 85.74 range, and extended to 85.84 at the time of writing this, the lowest since April. Crude sits well below its 18 day SMA at 93.41 with Daily RSI at 40.94, leaving the 100 day at 86.19 as the pivot the trade is watching. The same relief lifted stocks. The September E-mini S&P 500 settled at 7396.00, up 117.50, recovering Wednesday's 114.25 loss, with chip names leading after Micron rallied near 12 percent. The index holds above its 50 day at 7256.94 but below the 18 day at 7486.69, and Daily RSI at 49.17 sits neutral. Treasury yields fell alongside crude. The bulls lean on easing supply risk and falling energy costs, while bears note a deal still faces mine clearing and idled output. The trade now eyes whether documents are signed this weekend.
Dan Hussey
Below are the U.S. Drought Monitor maps from this week and a month ago for comparison. Small weekly improvements were seen this week through Iowa and Northern Illinois in the areas that were showing D0, abnormally dry, conditions. When compared to a month ago there have been major improvements in the South and Southeastern U.S. following the heavy rains that have moved through the heart of the Midwest this week it's likely that dry conditions will shrink on next week's run in Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Expected precipitation over the weekend is mailed centered over Missouri, Southern Illinois, Oklahoma and the Southeast corner of Kansas.
Jason Clapp
Karen Braun’s Market Context Newsletter provides data-driven market commentary that helps readers understand the “why & how” in whatever hot topics are driving the markets.
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